Epidemic Spread Prediction Using AI and Population Data Through Predictive Analytics

Abstract

Epidemics, such as Dengue and Influenza, remain significant threats to public health, particularly in densely populated areas. These diseases can spread rapidly, posing a challenge to early detection and containment. Existing methods for epidemic prediction often rely on basic surveillance and historical data, but these approaches have limitations, including a lack of real-time updates and the ability to predict disease trends with high accuracy. This project aims to leverage artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning techniques to predict the infection status of individuals based on blood sample data and visualize epidemic spread patterns. Using medical datasets containing blood parameters such as WBC count, CRP levels, platelet count, and age, the AI model can classify individuals as infected, cured, or deceased, and determine whether the cause is Dengue or Influenza. Machine learning algorithms like Logistic Regression, AdaBoost, ANN, Random Forest, LGBM, and Decision Trees have been applied to the data, resulting in high prediction accuracy. The system also integrates real-time visualizations, showing infection statistics, recovery trends, and mortality rates, and it utilizes population data to predict the regional spread of the epidemic. This project represents a significant advancement over traditional methods by providing a robust, AI-based solution for epidemic prediction and management.